“Black Swan” events over the past few weeks…

world on fire

Did we just have a ‘Black Swan’ news event over the past few week? A black swan event is defined as follows:”a theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.”

1. US reopens closed defense base on fears of EMP attack

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/193883#.VTDSc_mUfLM

2. Food Chain Catastrophe: Emergency Shut Down Of West Coast Fisheries: “Populations Have Crashed 91 Percent”

http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/food-chain-catastrophe-emergency-shut-down-of-west-coast-fisheries-populations-have-crashed-91-percent_04162015

The Gemara in Sanhedrin 98a says: “R. Hanina said: The Son of David will not come until a fish is sought for an invalid and cannot be procured”

3. Last, but most importantly, is the nuclear deal announced on the 13th of Nissan.

http://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-obamas-remarks-on-framework-nuclear-deal-with-iran/ (on the 13th of Nissan, April 2nd, 2015)

Full text of Obama’s remarks on framework nuclear deal with Iran

US president heralds ‘historic’ accord that could lead to ‘safer world,’ will speak to Netanyahu to stress support for Israel’s security

 

“On the 13th day of Nissan, Haman had the decree written up, and it was sent out to every province in its respective language. The decree said that all Jews, young, old, children and women, were to be exterminated on one day, the 13th of Adar, and their possessions were to be plundered. The edict was sent out immediately. Haman wanted this edict publicized right away, even though it was eleven months before the execution of the decree, because Haman feared that Achashverosh would change his mind. Once the decree was out, the fate of the Jews was sealed.”(Hat Tip Chaim S.)

http://www.torah.org.il/learning/yomtov/purim/5756/vol1no72.html

And finally, unrelated to the above, an example as to why one should never gloat and count one’s chickens before they hatch.

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